● METS PICKS · BY MARCDUCK · AI-ASSISTED
Mets Picks Today
Free Mets MLB picks for Friday, October 9, 2026, made by MarcDuck with AI assistance. Updated about four times a day with model probability and expected value where a price is published.
Mets are not on tonight's MLB slate.
Check back tomorrow morning for the next Mets matchup.
How the Model Reads Mets
New York plays in Citi Field (0.95x run factor; deep dimensions cut HR rates). The model leans UNDER on Citi Field totals, especially in night games when marine layer is present. Rotation quality is uneven, model picks up edges when their top arms match favorably. Bullpen has been below average.
How Mets Picks Are Built
Every Mets pick is made by MarcDuck (the publisher) with the assistance of AI software. The model weighs starting pitcher quality (FIP/xFIP/last-3-start trend), bullpen quality, lineup xwOBA vs opposing handedness, defensive OAA, and recent form. Picks publish automatically, and MarcDuck audits the results.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are today's Mets picks?
Today's Mets pick (if they're playing) is on this page with model confidence, expected value, and reasoning. The site rebuilds about four times a day (scheduled 7:00 AM, 11:30 AM, 3:00 PM and 5:50 PM Pacific), and a run can start late or be skipped. Tomorrow's card first appears after the 3 PM run. If Mets aren't on the slate today, check back tomorrow.
How does the model rate Mets?
The model weighs Mets's starting pitcher (FIP, xFIP, recent form, last 3 starts trend), bullpen quality, lineup xwOBA vs opposing handedness, defensive Outs Above Average, and market line movement. Park, weather and umpire inputs feed only the first-inning model and predicted totals.
Are Mets bets profitable historically?
We publish full track record at /track-record.html with per-team rolling stats once we have a meaningful sample. No cherry-picking, no hidden losses.
More Mets Coverage