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Chase Burns Picks Coverage

Every Chase Burns start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Cincinnati Reds. Recent ERA: 2.4. Record: 10-1. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
11
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
3-0-0
Hit Rate
100.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-02Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers2.40—
2026-06-27Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates2.36—
2026-06-09Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres2.05—
2026-06-03Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals2.05—
2026-05-26Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets1.96W
2026-05-19Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies1.83—
2026-05-14Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals1.87W
2026-05-09Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros2.11W
2026-05-03Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates2.20PENDING
2026-04-28Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies2.57—
2026-04-21Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays2.42—

About This Page

The table above lists every Chase Burns start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Chase Burns's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Cincinnati Reds picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Chase Burns's starts?
Chase Burns's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Chase Burns exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Chase Burns?
Every pick made on a Chase Burns start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Chase Burns?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.