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Chase Burns Picks Coverage

Every Chase Burns start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Cincinnati Reds. Recent ERA: 2.8. Record: 15-3. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
16
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
n/a

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-09-18Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs2.80—
2026-09-13Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers2.80—
2026-09-07Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers2.79—
2026-08-30Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs2.77—
2026-08-24Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants2.51—
2026-08-19Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals2.47—
2026-08-14Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins2.61—
2026-08-08Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals2.35—
2026-08-02Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates2.35—
2026-07-28Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians2.40—
2026-07-27Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians2.42—
2026-07-21Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners2.42—
2026-07-08Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies2.54—
2026-07-02Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers2.40—
2026-06-27Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates2.36—
2026-06-09Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres2.05—

About This Page

The table above lists every Chase Burns start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Chase Burns's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Cincinnati Reds picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Chase Burns's starts?
Chase Burns's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Chase Burns exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Chase Burns?
Every pick made on a Chase Burns start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Chase Burns?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page. We do not run a separate audit for pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, and EV plus recommended stake where a price is published) is visible on every pick page.