Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 66 games · updated Thu Nov 12, 5:51 PM PT

College Basketball / Picks

Every men's Division I game on the board, with a projected score, the likeliest winner and its chance, the spread and total. Projected score splits the market's margin around the posted total. Likeliest winner comes from the moneyline with the house cut removed, or from the spread when no moneyline is posted. All times Pacific.

Best bets

A best bet needs a sportsbook offering a better number or price than the consensus of up to 9 books, and that exact number has to have cleared its price across at least 200 past games, in both the 2023-25 seasons and the seasons since. Team ratings are not part of it: they have never beaten a closing line in our testing. Some days that leaves several bets, some days none.

No best bets right now. Nothing on the board clears its price on both checks, so we are not inventing one.

Leans

A price edge that is real but small (under 1 point of cover), or where the price looks good but the historical record at that exact number does not back it. Worth knowing, not worth a bet.

Montana State Bobcats @ BYU Cougars

Thu 6:00 PM PT

LEAN · Montana St Bobcats +22.5 (+102) at betrivers

est 50.0% vs 49.5% breakeven: a small price edge, under 1 point. Small stake.

Locks

The same college basketball locks as the homepage. A lock is a best bet or a 60%+ cover chance, and it has to beat the break-even of its price. Games tagged LIKELY WIN are 80%+ moneyline favorites: likely to win, but the price already charges for it, so they are not locks.

No college basketball locks right now. A lock has to be a best bet or a 60%+ cover chance that beats its price.

Every game

Thursday, Nov 12 · 5 games · 3 with lines

Montana State Bobcats @ BYU Cougars

Thu 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedMTST 70 – 93 BYU

Likeliest winnerBYU 98%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadBYU -22.75

Total162.5

LEAN · Montana St Bobcats +22.5 (+102) at betrivers

est 50.0% vs 49.5% breakeven: a small price edge, under 1 point. Small stake.

New Mexico State Aggies @ UTEP Miners

Thu 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedNMSU 70 – 75 UTEP

Likeliest winnerUTEP 67%from the moneyline

SpreadUTEP -5

Total145.5

No bet or lean: no book beats the 8-book consensus by enough to clear its price.

UC Riverside Highlanders @ San José State Spartans

Thu 7:00 PM PT

ProjectedUCR 72 – 81 SJSU

Likeliest winnerSJSU 78%from the moneyline

SpreadSJSU -9

Total153.5

No bet or lean: no book beats the 8-book consensus by enough to clear its price.

2 more games, lines not posted yet

Books post most small-conference lines the morning of the game. These fill in at the 7:00 and 11:30 AM updates.

Lincoln (CA) Oaklanders @ Cal State Fullerton Titans6:00 PM
Grace (CA) Talons @ Cal State Northridge Matadors7:00 PM

Friday, Nov 13 · 61 games · 38 with lines

North Alabama Lions @ Miami Hurricanes

Fri 2:00 PM PT

ProjectedUNA 58 – 91 MIA

Likeliest winnerMIA 100%LIKELY WINfrom the spread

SpreadMIA -33.5

Total148.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Georgetown Hoyas @ Clemson Tigers

Fri 3:00 PM PT

ProjectedGTWN 73 – 76 CLEM

Likeliest winnerCLEM 62%from the moneyline

SpreadCLEM -3.5

Total149.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Pittsburgh Panthers @ Butler Bulldogs

Fri 3:30 PM PT

ProjectedPITT 77 – 80 BTLR

Likeliest winnerBTLR 62%from the spread

SpreadBTLR -3.5

Total157.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Merrimack Warriors @ Florida Gators

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedMRMK 52 – 90 FLA

Likeliest winnerFLA 100%LIKELY WINfrom the spread

SpreadFLA -37.5

Total142.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Sam Houston Bearkats @ Illinois Fighting Illini

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedSHSU 68 – 103 ILL

Likeliest winnerILL 100%LIKELY WINfrom the spread

SpreadILL -35.5

Total170.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Northern Iowa Panthers @ Michigan State Spartans

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedUNI 63 – 92 MSU

Likeliest winnerMSU 100%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadMSU -29.5

Total155.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Tennessee State Tigers @ Tennessee Volunteers

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedTNST 62 – 92 TENN

Likeliest winnerTENN 100%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadTENN -29.5

Total154.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks @ Kentucky Wildcats

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedNAU 60 – 95 UK

Likeliest winnerUK 100%LIKELY WINfrom the spread

SpreadUK -34.5

Total155.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Ohio Bobcats @ Purdue Boilermakers

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedOHIO 66 – 87 PUR

Likeliest winnerPUR 97%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadPUR -20.5

Total153.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

App State Mountaineers @ Charlotte 49ers

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedAPP 62 – 71 CLT

Likeliest winnerCLT 81%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadCLT -8.5

Total133.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Iona Gaels @ Hofstra Pride

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedIONA 66 – 73 HOF

Likeliest winnerHOF 72%from the moneyline

SpreadHOF -7.5

Total138.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Chattanooga Mocs @ Elon Phoenix

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedUTC 74 – 77 ELON

Likeliest winnerELON 62%from the moneyline

SpreadELON -3.5

Total150.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Yale Bulldogs @ Northeastern Huskies

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedYALE 78 – 76 NE

Likeliest winnerYALE 53%from the moneyline

SpreadYALE -1.5

Total154.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Troy Trojans @ NC State Wolfpack

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedTROY 62 – 85 NCSU

Likeliest winnerNCSU 98%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadNCSU -22.5

Total147.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Harvard Crimson @ George Washington Revolutionaries

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedHARV 62 – 73 GW

Likeliest winnerGW 84%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadGW -11.5

Total134.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Georgia Bulldogs @ North Carolina Tar Heels

Fri 4:00 PM PT

ProjectedUGA 78 – 83 UNC

Likeliest winnerUNC 63%from the moneyline

SpreadUNC -4.5

Total161.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Ohio State Buckeyes @ UConn Huskies

Fri 4:30 PM PT

ProjectedOSU 68 – 79 CONN

Likeliest winnerCONN 82%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadCONN -10.5

Total147.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

South Dakota Coyotes @ Drake Bulldogs

Fri 4:30 PM PT

ProjectedSDAK 74 – 87 DRKE

Likeliest winnerDRKE 91%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadDRKE -13.5

Total160.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Fri 4:30 PM PT

ProjectedSEMO 70 – 76 MTSU

Likeliest winnerMTSU 67%from the moneyline

SpreadMTSU -5.5

Total146.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars @ Duke Blue Devils

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedSIUE 52 – 96 DUKE

Likeliest winnerDUKE 100%LIKELY WINfrom the spread

SpreadDUKE -43.5

Total147.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Virginia Cavaliers @ Maryland Terrapins

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedUVA 78 – 73 MD

Likeliest winnerUVA 71%from the moneyline

SpreadUVA -5.5

Total151.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Central Arkansas Bears @ Arkansas Razorbacks

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedCARK 66 – 93 ARK

Likeliest winnerARK 99%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadARK -26.5

Total159.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Texas State Bobcats

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedUSM 66 – 78 TXST

Likeliest winnerTXST 85%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadTXST -12.5

Total143.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedILST 76 – 72 NDSU

Likeliest winnerILST 62%from the moneyline

SpreadILST -3.5

Total147.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Wright State Raiders @ Samford Bulldogs

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedWRST 80 – 77 SAM

Likeliest winnerWRST 56%from the moneyline

SpreadWRST -2.5

Total156.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Georgia Southern Eagles @ UCF Knights

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedGASO 70 – 93 UCF

Likeliest winnerUCF 98%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadUCF -23.5

Total162.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Milwaukee Panthers @ TCU Horned Frogs

Fri 5:00 PM PT

ProjectedMILW 66 – 91 TCU

Likeliest winnerTCU 99%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadTCU -25.5

Total156.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Lindenwood Lions @ Omaha Mavericks

Fri 5:45 PM PT

ProjectedLIN 75 – 78 OMA

Likeliest winnerOMA 62%from the moneyline

SpreadOMA -3.5

Total153.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Arizona Wildcats @ Auburn Tigers

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedARIZ 81 – 78 AUB

Likeliest winnerARIZ 53%from the moneyline

SpreadARIZ -2.5

Total159.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Seton Hall Pirates @ Alabama Crimson Tide

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedHALL 70 – 86 ALA

Likeliest winnerALA 93%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadALA -16.5

Total156.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Stanford Cardinal @ UNLV Rebels

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedSTAN 76 – 74 UNLV

Likeliest winnerSTAN 51%from the moneyline

SpreadSTAN -1.5

Total150.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Idaho Vandals

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedCP 82 – 84 IDHO

Likeliest winnerIDHO 52%from the moneyline

SpreadIDHO -1.5

Total165.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

UL Monroe Warhawks @ Arizona State Sun Devils

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedULM 60 – 92 ASU

Likeliest winnerASU 100%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadASU -31.5

Total152.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Ball State Cardinals @ SMU Mustangs

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedBALL 65 – 88 SMU

Likeliest winnerSMU 98%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadSMU -22.5

Total152.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

DePaul Blue Demons @ Northwestern Wildcats

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedDEP 71 – 70 NU

Likeliest winnerDEP 54%from the moneyline

SpreadDEP -1.5

Total140.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

Xavier Musketeers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs

Fri 6:00 PM PT

ProjectedXAV 84 – 81 MSST

Likeliest winnerXAV 62%from the moneyline

SpreadXAV -3.5

Total165.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

UC San Diego Tritons @ Utah State Aggies

Fri 7:00 PM PT

ProjectedUCSD 71 – 84 USU

Likeliest winnerUSU 87%LIKELY WINfrom the moneyline

SpreadUSU -12.5

Total154.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

UIC Flames @ Saint Mary's Gaels

Fri 7:00 PM PT

ProjectedUIC 73 – 78 SMC

Likeliest winnerSMC 69%from the moneyline

SpreadSMC -5.5

Total151.5

Only one book's line so far; best bets need several.

23 more games, lines not posted yet

Books post most small-conference lines the morning of the game. These fill in at the 7:00 and 11:30 AM updates.

Viterbo V-Hawks @ Green Bay Phoenix9:00 AM
West Florida Argonauts @ Cleveland State Vikings12:00 PM
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders @ Florida State Seminoles2:00 PM
Bryant Bulldogs @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights3:00 PM
Prairie View A&M Panthers @ Vanderbilt Commodores4:00 PM
Kentucky State Thorobreds @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels4:00 PM
Champion Christian Tigers @ UT Martin Skyhawks4:00 PM
Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels @ VMI Keydets4:00 PM
Marist Red Foxes @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks4:00 PM
Columbia Lions @ Bucknell Bison4:00 PM
Florida International Panthers @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles4:00 PM
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers @ Virginia Tech Hokies4:00 PM
Long Island University Sharks @ Fordham Rams4:00 PM
North Carolina Central Eagles @ Liberty Flames4:30 PM
Texas Southern Tigers @ Murray State Racers5:00 PM
Alcorn State Braves @ Tarleton State Texans5:00 PM
College of Biblical Studies Ambassadors @ Houston Christian Huskies5:00 PM
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights @ Oklahoma Sooners5:00 PM
Corban Warriors @ Eastern Washington Eagles6:00 PM
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ Oregon State Beavers6:30 PM
Chicago State Cougars @ San Diego Toreros6:30 PM
East Texas A&M Lions @ Portland Pilots7:00 PM
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions @ California Baptist Lancers7:30 PM

Where the numbers come from.

Our history file holds 18,835 men's college basketball games from 2023 on, with opening and closing lines. After dropping 161 games with a flipped opening line, the final margin lands on average 11.21 points from the closing spread, with no lean either way. That scatter is why a favorite of 5 points wins only about two games in three, and it is the number behind the win % shown when no moneyline is posted.

Sportsbook lines are captured once each morning (to stay inside our odds data budget), so a number can move before tip. A game with no captured prices still shows the book's spread and total, but cannot be a best bet.