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Top picks: model gives at least 60% chance of winning. All sports (MLB, NBA, NHL). Green EV = good price. Red EV = model likes them but the market priced it sharp.
Every game on today's slate. Stars show model win-probability confidence: 5★ ≥ 65%, 4★ ≥ 60%, 3★ ≥ 55%, 2★ ≥ 50%. Click "Why this pick" on any row.
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The model gives this pick a 47.3% win probability at the offered +130. That's higher than what the market price implies, so betting at this number is +EV: if you placed this bet 100 times, you'd average a profit of +8.8% per dollar. Stake 0.8u at 1/8-Kelly.
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The model gives this pick a 56.9% win probability at the offered -120. That's higher than what the market price implies, so betting at this number is +EV: if you placed this bet 100 times, you'd average a profit of +4.3% per dollar. Stake 0.6u at 1/8-Kelly.
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The model gives this pick a 54.7% win probability at the offered -112. That's higher than what the market price implies, so betting at this number is +EV: if you placed this bet 100 times, you'd average a profit of +3.6% per dollar. Stake 0.0u at 1/8-Kelly.
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The model gives this pick a 53.0% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -122, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -3.6% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
Best two-leg and three-leg parlays auto-built from today's highest-EV plays. Legs are de-duplicated by game so no correlated picks. Combined odds and win probability assume leg independence.
All matchups today with our pick, the projected score, both starting pitchers, and the market line. Filter or search below.
Today's edge, season ledger, hot/cold markers. Filter bar above swaps these per sport.
